Sunday, October 23, 2016

Polling

The WP/ABC Poll on October 23 showed Clinton up by 12 points. Its previous poll of one week ago (which is after the tape and the accusers coming forward) had Clinton up by 4 points. While Clinton bested Trump in the third debate and its aftermath (or, it might be more accurate to say Trump worsted himself in the debate and its aftermath), 8 points in one week is an incredible jump. We put the matter to our Statistics and Analytics Department (SAD), and they've concluded that some skepticism might be in order about the polling. SAD has suggested that Casey Stengel's admonition might be heeded, when he said (and many think he was talking more about polling than about the 1962 Mets), "Can't anybody here play this game?"

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