[Prefatory Note: If you do not wish to read the following post, just note this: We didn't have to have 100,000 deaths and 1,7M infections. If are scientists and our government (federal and state) had done what other countries did, we would have had fewer than 5,000 deaths and fewer than 20,000 infections. If we repeat the mistakes we made going into a second wave or spike of the first wave, Katie bar the door]
There is no question that some countries did not handle the pandemic well, leading to higher infection rates and deaths and more substantial economic damage than others. There also is no question that some countries (Germany, Korea) and cities city/states (Hong Kong, Singapore) did handle the pandemic well, leading to lower infection rates and deaths and much less economic damage than others. There also is no question that the United States's handling of the pandemic as measured by infection rates and deaths and economic damage is at the very bottom. There also is no question that the difference between the top and the bottom performers was not a matter of luck or geography or demographics or any such externality--it was the result of better planning and earlier and stronger intervention and mitigation and testing and contact tracing.
All that said, on the one hand looking back does no good. The past, as is said, well, it is what it is. On the other hand, if the experts are correct, the United States is going to face a second wave in the Fall if not a spike in the first wave even sooner. So, here is the question: Is there any reason to believe or even hopeful sign that can be pointed to that, when our "second at bat" or "mulligan" or "redo" or "make-up test" or whatever you want to call it comes, we will do any better than we did the first time? Put another way, is there any reason to doubt that the Cassandra Syndrome is not ingrained in our culture?
[PS: A version of this will be submitted to the Failing NYT, but it is too long to be accepted for publication. However, it is not too long to be passed on by the letter editors to the columnists, so look for the same thought said better in the coming days]